Bilibili Is Profitable Again. So Why Is Wall Street Still Nervous?

Bilibili Looks Solid, But China Still Prices the Discount

Finance by Léa Valmont

Bilibili is no longer just a “Chinese YouTube for anime fans” story. The company behind one of China’s most distinctive video communities is now showing something investors spent years waiting for: operating discipline, expanding margins, and real adjusted profitability.

That matters because Bilibili has often been valued like a risky growth platform with a great brand but fragile economics. Its latest numbers suggest the business is becoming more durable. Revenue is still growing, advertising is accelerating, daily users are up, and the company has managed to improve gross margin for 15 consecutive quarters, according to its latest quarterly results.

And yet, the stock still trades with a heavy discount. Not necessarily because the market thinks Bilibili is broken. More because Bilibili is Chinese.

That distinction is the entire investment debate.

What Bilibili actually does

Bilibili is a Chinese digital entertainment platform built around video, gaming, livestreaming, anime, comics, creator culture, and community. The lazy comparison is YouTube. The more accurate one is a hybrid of YouTube, Twitch, Crunchyroll-adjacent fandom, mobile gaming distribution, and a deeply sticky Gen Z community layer.

Its core identity comes from ACG culture: anime, comics, and games. But the business is broader than that. Bilibili earns revenue from value-added services such as livestreaming and premium memberships, advertising, mobile games, and IP-related commerce.

That breadth matters. Bilibili is not a niche comic-reading app. It is a video community with multiple monetization levers, and those levers are starting to work better together.

The company’s official investor materials describe Bilibili as “an iconic brand and a leading video community for young generations in China,” and that is still the cleanest way to frame the asset: not just content, but culture plus distribution plus monetization.

Source: Bilibili Investor Relations.

Q1 2026 showed a healthier business

Bilibili’s first-quarter 2026 results were not explosive, but they were solid in the way investors usually prefer: cleaner profitability, better margins, stronger advertising, and continued user growth.

For Q1 2026, Bilibili reported revenue of RMB 7.5 billion, up 7% year over year. Gross margin reached 37.1%, marking the company’s 15th consecutive quarter of gross margin expansion. Adjusted net profit rose 62% year over year to RMB 585 million, while daily active users reached 115 million, up 8%.

The most important line was advertising. Ad revenue grew 30%, showing that Bilibili is getting better at monetizing its audience without relying only on gaming cycles or livestreaming economics. For a platform company, that is a big deal. Advertising strength usually means the company has better data, better targeting, more commercial inventory, and a user base brands still want to reach.

The market reaction was more cautious than euphoric. BILI ADRs recently traded around $17.23, down on the day after earnings, and the stock had already pulled back sharply over the previous month. That tells us investors liked the profitability improvement, but still wanted faster top-line acceleration or more aggressive guidance.

That is not irrational. A 7% revenue growth rate is good, not spectacular. But when paired with margin expansion and adjusted profit growth, it suggests a company that is shifting from “growth at any cost” to “growth with operating leverage.”

Source: Bilibili Q1 2026 financial results.

Why the market still discounts Bilibili

On paper, Bilibili looks better than its stock chart suggests. The company is profitable on an adjusted basis, its community remains large, advertising is growing fast, and analysts still appear broadly constructive on the name.

Several public analyst-tracking platforms show an average 12-month price target around the high-$20s to low-$30s for BILI, implying meaningful upside from the recent ADR price near $17. That gap is the headline temptation: if the business is improving and analysts see value, why is the market not paying up?

Because Bilibili is not priced only as a media platform. It is priced as a Chinese ADR.

That means investors are not just asking whether Bilibili can grow. They are asking whether U.S.-listed Chinese shares deserve the same valuation multiple as comparable non-Chinese internet platforms. Right now, the market’s answer is clearly no.

The discount reflects several layers of risk: Chinese regulation, U.S.-China tensions, ADR delisting fears, capital controls, gaming approvals, content oversight, and the legal complexity of variable interest entity structures.

In other words, the discount is not only about Bilibili. It is about jurisdiction.

The China discount, explained

The “China discount” is what happens when investors apply a lower valuation multiple to a company because of where it is based, regulated, listed, or politically exposed.

For Bilibili, the discount has four main components.

First, regulatory risk in China.
Bilibili operates in online content, gaming, advertising, livestreaming, and youth culture. These are not politically neutral sectors in China. Content moderation rules, gaming approval cycles, anti-addiction measures, algorithm regulation, and platform oversight can all affect growth or profitability.

Second, U.S.-China financial tension.
Bilibili trades on Nasdaq as an ADR and also has a Hong Kong listing under 9626. The Hong Kong listing is important because it provides an alternative trading venue if U.S.-China tensions around ADRs worsen. But the existence of a backup listing does not erase the risk premium on the U.S.-traded shares.

Third, VIE structure risk.
Like many Chinese internet companies listed overseas, Bilibili uses a variable interest entity structure. In simple terms, foreign investors do not own the Chinese operating assets in the same straightforward way they might own shares in a U.S. corporation. Instead, the listed company has contractual arrangements that allow it to consolidate the economics of the Chinese operating entities.

That structure has worked for years across China tech, but it is still a legal and governance risk. Bilibili’s own annual report discusses risks tied to its VIE structure, including uncertainty around future regulation and the enforceability of contractual arrangements.

Source: Bilibili 2025 annual report.

Fourth, investor trust.
Even when the numbers improve, global investors may demand a larger margin of safety for Chinese companies. That pushes valuation multiples down. It also means good earnings can produce muted stock reactions, because the market is not only pricing the quarter; it is pricing a geopolitical risk package.

This is why Bilibili can look cheap and risky at the same time. The two are connected.

Why Bilibili is not Webtoon

It is tempting to compare Bilibili with Webtoon because both sit inside Asian digital entertainment, youth culture, comics, serialized stories, fandom, and IP monetization. But their core businesses are different.

Webtoon is primarily a vertical digital comics platform. Its model is built around paid content, creator ecosystems, reader payments, advertising, and IP adaptation into dramas, animation, games, or merchandise.

Bilibili is much broader. It is a video-first community platform with livestreaming, premium memberships, ads, gaming, creators, comments, fan culture, and IP extensions. Comics and manhua exist inside the ecosystem, but they are not the center of gravity.

That difference matters for valuation. Webtoon is closer to a specialized content marketplace. Bilibili is closer to a large-scale community media platform. Bilibili’s opportunity is bigger, but so is the complexity: more revenue lines, more regulation, more content moderation, more gaming exposure, and more macro sensitivity.

So no, Bilibili is not simply “China’s Webtoon.” It is a larger, messier, more diversified digital entertainment platform. Very Bilibili, in other words.

What could close the valuation gap

For Bilibili’s valuation gap to narrow, the company needs to do more than post one good quarter. It needs to prove that Q1 2026 was part of a durable trend.

The first catalyst would be sustained advertising growth. If ad revenue keeps growing near the current pace, investors may begin treating Bilibili less like a volatile entertainment platform and more like a scalable media network with improving monetization.

The second catalyst is consistent profitability. Adjusted net profit is useful, but markets eventually want durable operating profit and clean cash generation. The more Bilibili proves that margin expansion can continue without damaging user engagement, the more credible the re-rating case becomes.

The third catalyst is user quality. Daily active users were up 8% in Q1 2026, but raw user growth is not enough. Investors will watch time spent, creator activity, retention, and monetization per user. Bilibili’s moat is not only audience size; it is community intensity.

The fourth catalyst is geopolitical calm. This is the one management cannot control. Any easing of ADR delisting fears, audit tension, tariff escalation, or broad anti-China market sentiment could help multiples across Chinese tech. Conversely, a new flare-up could keep the discount in place even if Bilibili executes well.

That is the uncomfortable part. Bilibili may continue to perform operationally and still trade below what a similar platform might command elsewhere.

But that is also where the opportunity sits. The stock is not cheap because the story is simple. It is cheap because the story requires investors to separate company fundamentals from country risk — and then decide what discount is fair.

Bilibili: key questions

Is Bilibili a solid company?
Bilibili looks significantly stronger than it did during its heavier loss-making phase. Revenue is growing, gross margin is expanding, advertising is performing well, and the company is now profitable on an adjusted basis.

Why is Bilibili stock discounted?
The main discount comes from China-related risk. Investors apply lower valuation multiples because of regulatory uncertainty, U.S.-China tensions, ADR delisting concerns, and the VIE structure used by many Chinese internet companies.

Is Bilibili the same kind of business as Webtoon?
No. Webtoon is mainly a digital comics platform, while Bilibili is a broader video, gaming, livestreaming, advertising, and community platform. They overlap in youth culture and fandom, but their business models are different.

What was the key highlight from Bilibili’s Q1 2026 results?
The standout was profitability combined with advertising growth. Bilibili reported RMB 585 million in adjusted net profit and 30% year-over-year advertising revenue growth.

What is the biggest risk for Bilibili investors?
The biggest risk is not one single metric. It is the combination of Chinese regulation, geopolitical tension, ADR structure, and investor skepticism toward Chinese equities.

Is this financial advice?
No. This article is for information and analysis only. It is not financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell Bilibili stock.